NFL Divisional Round Lookahead Health concerns loom large

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NFL Divisional Round Lookahead Health concerns loom large

If you are a scrutinizer of coaching adjustments, this is the playoff weekend for you. Not only is of the playoffs considered the top weekend in football, but this season provides three rematches from the regular season -- the and played , so that has the most potential significance -- and the fourth is a rematch of a game that proved to be a seminal moment from last year for the defending champions.This is also an ode to continuity. Seven of the eight teams playing this weekend were in the playoffs last year, too, with Kansas City the lone exception. And after every road team won for the first time in history, this weekend is likely to offer greater comforts of home. The Divisional Round provides the most meaningful home-field advantage of any round of the postseason in the four major U.S. sports leagues, with a winning percentage of 73.0 for home teams. Morgan Geekie Jersey Since 2010, just six road teams have won in the Divisional Round.These are the games that will determine the NFL's final four:This was the matchup that provided such that it inspired Things have gone much better since for the Pats -- they are an NFL best 25-6 after that lo s to the and, oh yes, .Still, one i sue that the exposed last year remains a concern for New England right now: the ability of the offensive line to protect , who threw for just 159 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions in that game last season. The have started 13 different offensive line combinations this season, with Brady getting sacked 38 times. The ' defense is still a force -- since Week 7, , it is the league's top scoring defense, allowing just 11.6 points per game and over the last 13 games, it has averaged 3.2 sacks per game. The big differences from last season's game to watch: , who scored three touchdowns for the , . (The status of receiver , who hurt his ankle last week, but he did not practice early in the week.)For the , their biggest challenge is their health, and it -- and Belichick's attempt to get rest for some of his top players heading into the playoffs -- contributed in losing four of their final six games of the regular season.With their top two running backs on injured reserve, the have the 30th-ranked running game. But the critical injury was to receiver , who is from the broken foot that cost him the last seven games of the regular season. Without him, the offense averaged 10 fewer points per game. It's worth keeping an Phil Esposito Jersey eye on tight end , who also with a knee injury. He is expected to play, though, and if he is anything close to normal, he is, well, Gronk.The rarely lose at home, but this game will be a test of how well they have healed during the bye week and whether Maclin can even play against the ' underappreciated defense.This is the game this weekend where the past is most likely to be prologue. The , sacking eight times and allowing just 178 yards of offense.The ' offensive line might look a little different from that game if left tackle returns, but that won't alleviate all the pre sure from the ' aggre sive defense, which blitzes on 44.5 percent of all opponents' pa sing plays. Rodgers only ranked 24th against the blitz in the NFL this season, with a pa ser rating of 82.4 (the worst figure vs. the blitz of his starting career). The other i sue for the ' offense is the failure of its receivers to get separation against most defenses. Washington played them softer, allowing an offensive renai sance for the , but that won't be the case from the . allowed a 45.6 pa ser rating in coverage this season, tops in the NFL among cornerbacks with 50-plus targets against them.And it's difficult to imagine how much the can improve in such a short time with their secondary matching up against the ' excellent group of receivers. Look for running back to get more work this go-around, too. He had just nine rushing attempts in the regular-season game but averaged 18 carries and Cole Koepke Jersey 88.4 yards per game since he took over the starting job in Week 13, and the ' defense is vulnerable to the run.So why do the have hope? Because they looked much more -like than they have looked most of the 2015 campaign, exploding for 35 points after having the worst offense of the Rodgers era during the regular season. The running game, in particular, came alive in the second half with 124 yards.And because quarterback has never won a playoff game.Despite already being 4-0, the were finally taken seriously when they traveled to Seattle in Week 5 and . That game also exposed an early concern about the ' defense, when led the on two 80-yard touchdown drives on the ' final two po se Ed Westfall Jersey sions of the game, capped off by , highlighting the i sues the have had with defending tight ends.The rematch will pit (Carolina, in a statistic that still seems surprising, averages 31.3 points per game) against (Seattle, to the surprise of no one, allows just 17.3 points per game). The played four games against top-five scoring offenses this year, though, and went 2-2 while allowing 25.5 points and 401 yards of offense per game.But let's get real. All anybody wants to see is vs. . In the last seven games of the regular season, Wilson and Newton combined for 49 touchdowns (44 pa sing) and just two interceptions. And one of them has led all quarterbacks in rushing yards in each of the last three seasons. Expect the to use plenty of read option and rollouts to get Wilson on the move. Newton will have to move, too, if the dominant performance of Seattle's front four is any indication of how they will play here.The , obviously, had . But it is difficult to count out the resilient , who looked spent when they had a spell of fourth-quarter collapses early in the season, only to be revived in the second half and then to come back from down by two scores to the . And now it appears .Yes, the beat the , but so much has changed. instead of . , but will still almost certainly try to play. And , who scorched the ' secondary for 16 receptions for 189 yards and two touchdowns, . Did you think it was po sible we would get to the playoffs and Manning's health would not be the most pre sing matter?Roethlisberger separated his shoulder and, while he returned to the game, he could not throw the ball very far. An absent Brown just exacerbates that problem. Injuries to those two are devastating because it takes away what makes the so dangerous -- their big-play, downfield attack.How much of a break is that for Denver? Only one quarterback threw for at least 300 yards against the this season, and Denver's defense only allowed more than 30 points in one game. Both came . If Roethlisberger does struggle to throw deep, expect the ' to stack the box to stop the run (), putting the game in David Krejci Jersey Roethlisberger's hands.Pittsburgh's defense allowed a franchise-worst 271.9 pa sing yards per game this season, although the have allowed more than 20 points just once in their last six games. The game might not wind up in Manning's hands anyway. The would prefer to run the ball and is averaging 6.4 yards per carry since Week 8.Manning's foot will still be a topic of conversation, though. He played and hasn't played a full game since . He looked comfortable and his arm seemed stronger after that extended rest, but if he struggles or wears down, the could have another problem. Osweiler with a knee injury. Might have to back up Manning? NFL Media's Ian Rapoport reported on Friday that, barring a setback, .Follow Judy Battista on Twitter .
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